February 17, 2018
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 108 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Diego Ferreira's 3-fight experience advantage (6 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Diego Ferreira for the expected result. Had Jared Gordon pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 048 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:58 | 1:58 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 249 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | +90 | -37 |
Diego Ferreira earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:58, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 29 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 60 | 17 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 29 | 8 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 212 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +140 | -140 |
Diego Ferreira controlled the striking exchanges with 29 vs 8 total strikes, 29 vs 8 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Diego Ferreira capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:18 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 16 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 148 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | +64 | -64 |
Diego Ferreira controlled Jared Gordon on the ground with 0:18 of control time, 16 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 750 | 114 |
| Activity ELO | 1 102 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -20 |
Diego Ferreira demonstrated extended layoff with 750 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Diego Ferreira capitalized on this activity level, while Jared Gordon's 114-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 063 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -22 |
Diego Ferreira extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jared Gordon is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 048 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.