December 17, 2021
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Mateusz Gamrot |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 155 | 1 211 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +55 |
Mateusz Gamrot overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 13 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Diego Ferreira.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Mateusz Gamrot |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 070 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Mateusz Gamrot |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:26 | 3:26 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 329 | 1 357 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +122 |
Mateusz Gamrot gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Mateusz Gamrot |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 36 | 25 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 101 | 58 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 37 | 31 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 192 | 1 231 |
| ELO Change | -66 | +66 |
Diego Ferreira controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (36 vs 25). However, since Diego Ferreira lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Mateusz Gamrot's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Mateusz Gamrot |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 152 | 1 248 |
| ELO Change | -106 | +106 |
Mateusz Gamrot controlled Diego Ferreira on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 1:05 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Mateusz Gamrot |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 225 | 155 |
| Activity ELO | 1 205 | 1 160 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +49 |
Mateusz Gamrot demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mateusz Gamrot capitalized on this activity level, while Diego Ferreira's 225-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Mateusz Gamrot |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 143 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +37 |
Mateusz Gamrot extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Diego Ferreira is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Mateusz Gamrot |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 065 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.