May 19, 2023
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 27 |
| Experience Gap | -13 | 13 |
| Experience ELO | 1 190 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -19 |
Diego Ferreira overcame a 13-fight experience disadvantage (14 vs 27 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Michael Johnson.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 087 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:50 | 1:50 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 390 | 1 193 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -30 |
Diego Ferreira gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 30 | 32 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 71 | 58 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 30 | 32 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 265 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | +73 | -73 |
Diego Ferreira controlled the striking exchanges with 42.3% vs 55.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Diego Ferreira capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 196 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 518 | 168 |
| Activity ELO | 1 221 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -18 |
Diego Ferreira demonstrated extended layoff with 518 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Diego Ferreira capitalized on this activity level, while Michael Johnson's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 159 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -15 |
Diego Ferreira started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Michael Johnson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 082 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.