January 29, 2016
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 077 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -23 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 026 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 159 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
Diego Ferreira earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 65 | 49 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 152 | 93 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 130 | 55 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 072 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Diego Ferreira dominated the striking exchanges with 130 vs 55 total strikes, 65 vs 49 significant strikes, 42.8% vs 52.7% accuracy. Diego Ferreira capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:03 | 0:57 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 084 | 1 156 |
| ELO Change | +78 | -78 |
Diego Ferreira edged out Olivier Aubin-Mercier on the ground with 0 takedowns, 4:03 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 302 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 084 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Diego Ferreira demonstrated standard activity with 302 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Diego Ferreira capitalized on this activity level, while Olivier Aubin-Mercier's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 037 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -24 |
Diego Ferreira started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Olivier Aubin-Mercier is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Diego Ferreira | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 026 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.