August 4, 2023
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Diego Lopes | Gavin Tucker |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 044 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -42 |
Diego Lopes overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Gavin Tucker.
| Metric | Diego Lopes | Gavin Tucker |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 010 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Diego Lopes | Gavin Tucker |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:38 | 1:38 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 097 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | +114 | -60 |
Diego Lopes earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:38, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Diego Lopes | Gavin Tucker |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 4 | 6 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 004 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 0 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Diego Lopes | Gavin Tucker |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:39 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 052 | 1 171 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -68 |
Diego Lopes edged out Gavin Tucker on the ground with 0 takedowns, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Diego Lopes | Gavin Tucker |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 91 | 875 |
| Activity ELO | 1 054 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -26 |
Diego Lopes demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Diego Lopes capitalized on this activity level, while Gavin Tucker's 875-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Lopes | Gavin Tucker |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 018 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -25 |
Diego Lopes started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gavin Tucker is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Diego Lopes | Gavin Tucker |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 010 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.