May 5, 2023
Featherweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Diego Lopes | Movsar Evloev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 988 | 1 268 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
Movsar Evloev's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Movsar Evloev for the expected result. Had Diego Lopes pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Diego Lopes | Movsar Evloev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 986 | 1 140 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Diego Lopes | Movsar Evloev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 983 | 1 256 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Movsar Evloev earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Diego Lopes | Movsar Evloev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 37 | 88 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 69 | 129 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 48 | 183 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 981 | 1 277 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Movsar Evloev dominated the striking exchanges with 183 vs 48 total strikes, 88 vs 37 significant strikes, 68.2% vs 53.6% accuracy. Movsar Evloev capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Diego Lopes | Movsar Evloev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:41 | 8:30 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 32 |
| Ground ELO | 984 | 1 404 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Movsar Evloev controlled Diego Lopes on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 8:30 of control time, 32 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Lopes | Movsar Evloev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 336 |
| Activity ELO | 989 | 1 192 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
Movsar Evloev demonstrated standard activity with 336 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Movsar Evloev capitalized on this activity level, while Diego Lopes's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Lopes | Movsar Evloev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 7 |
| Win Streak ELO | 990 | 1 228 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +30 |
Movsar Evloev continued building serious momentum with a 7-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Diego Lopes's now at 0.
| Metric | Diego Lopes | Movsar Evloev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 986 | 1 140 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.