November 10, 2023
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Diego Lopes | Pat Sabatini |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 095 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -40 |
Diego Lopes overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Pat Sabatini.
| Metric | Diego Lopes | Pat Sabatini |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 035 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Diego Lopes | Pat Sabatini |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:30 | 1:30 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 224 | 1 135 |
| ELO Change | +127 | -53 |
Diego Lopes earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:30, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Diego Lopes | Pat Sabatini |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 18 | 12 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 13 | 10 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 130 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +126 | -126 |
Diego Lopes controlled the striking exchanges with 13 vs 7 significant strikes, 72.2% vs 58.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Diego Lopes capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Diego Lopes | Pat Sabatini |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 124 | 1 211 |
| ELO Change | +72 | -72 |
Diego Lopes landed 1 knockdown followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Diego Lopes | Pat Sabatini |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 99 | 148 |
| Activity ELO | 1 119 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -26 |
Diego Lopes demonstrated solid activity levels with 99 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Diego Lopes capitalized on this activity level, while Pat Sabatini's 148-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Lopes | Pat Sabatini |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 048 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -25 |
Diego Lopes extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Pat Sabatini is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Diego Lopes | Pat Sabatini |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 035 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.