June 10, 2011
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Diego Nunes | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 16 |
| Experience Gap | -14 | 14 |
| Experience ELO | 1 038 | 1 207 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Kenny Florian's 14-fight experience advantage (16 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Kenny Florian for the expected result. Had Diego Nunes pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Diego Nunes | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 006 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Diego Nunes | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 999 | 1 373 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +10 |
Kenny Florian earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Diego Nunes | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 31 | 42 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 104 | 111 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 34 | 112 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 011 | 1 385 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +9 |
Kenny Florian dominated the striking exchanges with 112 vs 34 total strikes, 42 vs 31 significant strikes, 37.8% vs 29.8% accuracy. Kenny Florian capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Diego Nunes | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:18 | 4:52 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 16 |
| Ground ELO | 999 | 1 354 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Kenny Florian controlled Diego Nunes on the ground with 4 vs 2 takedowns, 4:52 of control time, 16 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Nunes | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 161 | 287 |
| Activity ELO | 1 013 | 1 312 |
| ELO Change | -7 | +7 |
Kenny Florian demonstrated standard activity with 287 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Kenny Florian capitalized on this activity level, while Diego Nunes's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Nunes | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 011 | 1 209 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +12 |
Kenny Florian started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Diego Nunes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Diego Nunes | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 006 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

