Diego Nunes vs Nik Lentz

January 18, 2013

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1028
(-36)
Diego Nunes
Winner: Nik Lentz
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Diego Nunes-36
Nik Lentz+39
1160
(+39)
Nik Lentz

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Diego Nunes: -30Nik Lentz: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricDiego NunesNik Lentz
Total UFC Fights611
Experience Gap-55
Experience ELO1 0481 130
ELO Change-30+30
💡

What Happened

Nik Lentz's 5-fight experience advantage (11 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Nik Lentz for the expected result. Had Diego Nunes pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Diego Nunes: -18Nik Lentz: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricDiego NunesNik Lentz
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0091 087
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Diego Nunes: -30Nik Lentz: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricDiego NunesNik Lentz
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0421 203
ELO Change-30+30
💡

What Happened

Nik Lentz earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Diego Nunes: -68Nik Lentz: +68

Performance Statistics

MetricDiego NunesNik Lentz
Significant Strikes Landed1856
Significant Strikes Attempted3274
Total Strikes Landed19205
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0611 202
ELO Change-68+68
💡

What Happened

Nik Lentz dominated the striking exchanges with 205 vs 19 total strikes, 56 vs 18 significant strikes, 75.7% vs 56.3% accuracy. Nik Lentz capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Diego Nunes: -95Nik Lentz: +95

Performance Statistics

MetricDiego NunesNik Lentz
Takedowns Landed010
Takedowns Attempted021
Ground Control Time0:0012:13
Ground Strikes Landed231
Ground ELO9831 251
ELO Change-95+95
💡

What Happened

Nik Lentz dominated Diego Nunes on the ground with 10 vs 0 takedowns, 12:13 of control time, 31 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Diego Nunes: -14Nik Lentz: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricDiego NunesNik Lentz
Days Since Last Fight107162
Activity ELO1 0491 205
ELO Change-14+25
💡

What Happened

Nik Lentz demonstrated solid activity levels with 162 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Nik Lentz capitalized on this activity level, while Diego Nunes's 107-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Diego Nunes: -18Nik Lentz: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricDiego NunesNik Lentz
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 0201 111
ELO Change-18+21
💡

What Happened

Nik Lentz extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Diego Nunes is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Diego Nunes: -19Nik Lentz: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricDiego NunesNik Lentz
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0081 087
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.