January 18, 2013
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Diego Nunes | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 048 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Nik Lentz's 5-fight experience advantage (11 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Nik Lentz for the expected result. Had Diego Nunes pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Diego Nunes | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 009 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Diego Nunes | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 042 | 1 203 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Nik Lentz earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Diego Nunes | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 56 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 32 | 74 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 19 | 205 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 061 | 1 202 |
| ELO Change | -68 | +68 |
Nik Lentz dominated the striking exchanges with 205 vs 19 total strikes, 56 vs 18 significant strikes, 75.7% vs 56.3% accuracy. Nik Lentz capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Diego Nunes | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 10 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 21 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 12:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 31 |
| Ground ELO | 983 | 1 251 |
| ELO Change | -95 | +95 |
Nik Lentz dominated Diego Nunes on the ground with 10 vs 0 takedowns, 12:13 of control time, 31 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Nunes | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 107 | 162 |
| Activity ELO | 1 049 | 1 205 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +25 |
Nik Lentz demonstrated solid activity levels with 162 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Nik Lentz capitalized on this activity level, while Diego Nunes's 107-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Nunes | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 020 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +21 |
Nik Lentz extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Diego Nunes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Diego Nunes | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 008 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

