February 14, 2012
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Jake Ellenberger |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 17 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 149 | 1 207 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +58 |
Jake Ellenberger overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 17 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Diego Sanchez.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Jake Ellenberger |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 116 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Jake Ellenberger |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 306 | 1 315 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Jake Ellenberger earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Jake Ellenberger |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 29 | 62 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 114 | 124 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 63 | 78 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 203 | 1 372 |
| ELO Change | -55 | +55 |
Jake Ellenberger controlled the striking exchanges with 62 vs 29 significant strikes, 50.0% vs 25.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jake Ellenberger capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Jake Ellenberger |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:08 | 1:42 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 275 | 1 345 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Jake Ellenberger landed 1 knockdown followed by 4 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Jake Ellenberger |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 349 | 152 |
| Activity ELO | 1 285 | 1 225 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +51 |
Jake Ellenberger demonstrated solid activity levels with 152 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jake Ellenberger capitalized on this activity level, while Diego Sanchez's 349-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Jake Ellenberger |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 6 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 166 | 1 181 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +60 |
Jake Ellenberger continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Diego Sanchez's now at 0.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Jake Ellenberger |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 119 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.