March 4, 2016
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 23 | 22 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 137 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (23 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 102 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 227 | 1 205 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -52 |
Diego Sanchez earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 48 | 56 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 125 | 115 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 71 | 61 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 137 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Jim Miller controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (56 vs 48), superior accuracy (48.7% vs 38.4%). However, since Jim Miller lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Diego Sanchez's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:27 | 0:24 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 156 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Diego Sanchez edged out Jim Miller on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 3:27 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | 86 |
| Activity ELO | 1 317 | 1 279 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -24 |
Diego Sanchez demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Diego Sanchez capitalized on this activity level, while Jim Miller's 86-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 150 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -23 |
Diego Sanchez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jim Miller is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 104 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.