February 20, 2009
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Joe Stevenson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 183 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (11 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Joe Stevenson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 126 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Joe Stevenson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 372 | 1 205 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Diego Sanchez earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Joe Stevenson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 91 | 41 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 193 | 145 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 91 | 43 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 376 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Diego Sanchez controlled the striking exchanges with 91 vs 43 total strikes, 91 vs 41 significant strikes, 47.2% vs 28.3% accuracy. Diego Sanchez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Joe Stevenson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:46 | 0:24 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 319 | 1 171 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Diego Sanchez did not secure a significant ground advantage against Joe Stevenson on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:46 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Joe Stevenson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 246 | 98 |
| Activity ELO | 1 274 | 1 161 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -17 |
Diego Sanchez demonstrated standard activity with 246 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Diego Sanchez capitalized on this activity level, while Joe Stevenson's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Joe Stevenson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 183 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -17 |
Diego Sanchez extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joe Stevenson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Joe Stevenson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 125 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.