May 28, 2010
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | John Hathaway |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 135 | 1 148 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +66 |
John Hathaway overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 14 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Diego Sanchez.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | John Hathaway |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 105 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | John Hathaway |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 296 | 1 217 |
| ELO Change | -64 | +64 |
John Hathaway earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | John Hathaway |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 84 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 90 | 174 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 25 | 115 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 215 | 1 351 |
| ELO Change | -113 | +113 |
John Hathaway dominated the striking exchanges with 115 vs 25 total strikes, 84 vs 24 significant strikes, 48.3% vs 26.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. John Hathaway capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | John Hathaway |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:05 | 3:54 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 21 |
| Ground ELO | 1 249 | 1 269 |
| ELO Change | -77 | +77 |
John Hathaway controlled Diego Sanchez on the ground with 0 takedowns, 3:54 of control time, 21 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | John Hathaway |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 168 | 196 |
| Activity ELO | 1 256 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +39 |
John Hathaway demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, John Hathaway capitalized on this activity level, while Diego Sanchez's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | John Hathaway |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 154 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +38 |
John Hathaway extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Diego Sanchez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | John Hathaway |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 108 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.