June 20, 2008
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Luigi Fioravanti |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 157 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Diego Sanchez's 3-fight experience advantage (10 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Diego Sanchez for the expected result. Had Luigi Fioravanti pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Luigi Fioravanti |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 108 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Luigi Fioravanti |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:07 | 4:07 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 343 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -20 |
Diego Sanchez gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Luigi Fioravanti |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 51 | 27 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 116 | 80 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 56 | 30 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 359 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | +74 | -74 |
Diego Sanchez dominated the striking exchanges with 56 vs 30 total strikes, 51 vs 27 significant strikes, 44.0% vs 33.8% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Diego Sanchez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Luigi Fioravanti |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:51 | 0:45 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 14 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 299 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Diego Sanchez landed 2 knockdowns followed by 14 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Luigi Fioravanti |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 112 |
| Activity ELO | 1 253 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -12 |
Diego Sanchez demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Diego Sanchez capitalized on this activity level, while Luigi Fioravanti's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Luigi Fioravanti |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 161 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -14 |
Diego Sanchez extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Luigi Fioravanti is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Luigi Fioravanti |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 107 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.