November 10, 2017
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Matt Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 27 | 24 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 071 | 1 149 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +36 |
Matt Brown overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (24 vs 27 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Diego Sanchez.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Matt Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 052 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Matt Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:44 | 3:44 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 159 | 1 389 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +53 |
Matt Brown earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:44, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Matt Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 20 | 34 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 13 | 20 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 912 | 1 185 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +53 |
Matt Brown controlled the striking exchanges with 18 vs 12 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Matt Brown capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Matt Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:30 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 097 | 1 184 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Matt Brown did not secure a significant ground advantage against Diego Sanchez on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Matt Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 204 | 336 |
| Activity ELO | 1 261 | 1 291 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Matt Brown demonstrated standard activity with 336 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Matt Brown capitalized on this activity level, while Diego Sanchez's 204-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Matt Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 100 | 1 168 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Matt Brown started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Diego Sanchez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Matt Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 053 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.