July 5, 2019
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 30 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | 17 | -17 |
| Experience ELO | 1 099 | 1 235 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +57 |
Michael Chiesa overcame a 17-fight experience disadvantage (13 vs 30 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Diego Sanchez.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 068 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 240 | 1 367 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Michael Chiesa earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 47 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 11 | 67 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 23 | 98 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 007 | 1 180 |
| ELO Change | -55 | +55 |
Michael Chiesa dominated the striking exchanges with 98 vs 23 total strikes, 47 vs 7 significant strikes. Michael Chiesa capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:24 | 11:49 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 38 |
| Ground ELO | 1 150 | 1 379 |
| ELO Change | -87 | +87 |
Michael Chiesa dominated Diego Sanchez on the ground with 5 vs 1 takedowns, 11:49 of control time, 38 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 189 |
| Activity ELO | 1 263 | 1 245 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +32 |
Michael Chiesa demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Michael Chiesa capitalized on this activity level, while Diego Sanchez's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 116 | 1 146 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +27 |
Michael Chiesa extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Diego Sanchez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 069 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.