February 14, 2020
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Michel Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 31 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 28 | -28 |
| Experience ELO | 1 123 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Diego Sanchez's 28-fight experience advantage (31 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Diego Sanchez for the expected result. Had Michel Pereira pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Michel Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 085 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Michel Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | DQ | DQ |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:09 | 3:09 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 246 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | +6 | -6 |
The fight concluded with Diego Sanchez earning a DQ, with adjustments based on the nature of the result.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Michel Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 25 | 53 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 64 | 91 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 29 | 56 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 032 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Michel Pereira controlled the striking through superior volume (56 vs 29 total strikes), significant strike advantage (53 vs 25), superior accuracy (58.2% vs 39.1%), 1 knockdown. However, since Michel Pereira lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Diego Sanchez's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Michel Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:10 | 0:49 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 161 | 951 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
Diego Sanchez did not secure a significant ground advantage against Michel Pereira on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Michel Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 225 | 155 |
| Activity ELO | 1 273 | 995 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -8 |
Diego Sanchez demonstrated standard activity with 225 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Diego Sanchez capitalized on this activity level, while Michel Pereira's 155-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Michel Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 132 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -14 |
Diego Sanchez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Michel Pereira is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Michel Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 086 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

