October 22, 2010
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Paulo Thiago |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 167 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Diego Sanchez's 9-fight experience advantage (15 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Diego Sanchez for the expected result. Had Paulo Thiago pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Paulo Thiago |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 122 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Paulo Thiago |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 328 | 1 179 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Diego Sanchez earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Paulo Thiago |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 48 | 36 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 112 | 65 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 73 | 49 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 244 | 1 167 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Diego Sanchez edged the striking exchanges with 73 vs 49 total strikes, 48 vs 36 significant strikes, 42.9% vs 55.4% accuracy. Diego Sanchez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Paulo Thiago |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 9:12 | 1:32 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 39 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 300 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -51 |
Diego Sanchez dominated Paulo Thiago on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 9:12 of control time, 39 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Paulo Thiago |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 284 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -14 |
Diego Sanchez demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Diego Sanchez capitalized on this activity level, while Paulo Thiago's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Paulo Thiago |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 171 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -15 |
Diego Sanchez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Paulo Thiago is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Paulo Thiago |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 125 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

