Diego Sanchez vs Paulo Thiago

October 22, 2010

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1218
(+28)
Diego Sanchez
Winner: Diego Sanchez
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Diego Sanchez+28
Paulo Thiago-26
1089
(-26)
Paulo Thiago

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Diego Sanchez: +32Paulo Thiago: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricDiego SanchezPaulo Thiago
Total UFC Fights156
Experience Gap9-9
Experience ELO1 1671 111
ELO Change+32-32
💡

What Happened

Diego Sanchez's 9-fight experience advantage (15 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Diego Sanchez for the expected result. Had Paulo Thiago pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Diego Sanchez: +17Paulo Thiago: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricDiego SanchezPaulo Thiago
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1221 023
ELO Change+17-17
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Diego Sanchez: +32Paulo Thiago: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricDiego SanchezPaulo Thiago
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 3281 179
ELO Change+32-32
💡

What Happened

Diego Sanchez earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Diego Sanchez: +29Paulo Thiago: -29

Performance Statistics

MetricDiego SanchezPaulo Thiago
Significant Strikes Landed4836
Significant Strikes Attempted11265
Total Strikes Landed7349
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 2441 167
ELO Change+29-29
💡

What Happened

Diego Sanchez edged the striking exchanges with 73 vs 49 total strikes, 48 vs 36 significant strikes, 42.9% vs 55.4% accuracy. Diego Sanchez capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Diego Sanchez: +51Paulo Thiago: -51

Performance Statistics

MetricDiego SanchezPaulo Thiago
Takedowns Landed21
Takedowns Attempted83
Ground Control Time9:121:32
Ground Strikes Landed392
Ground ELO1 3001 036
ELO Change+51-51
💡

What Happened

Diego Sanchez dominated Paulo Thiago on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 9:12 of control time, 39 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Diego Sanchez: +28Paulo Thiago: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricDiego SanchezPaulo Thiago
Days Since Last Fight147133
Activity ELO1 2841 126
ELO Change+28-14
💡

What Happened

Diego Sanchez demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Diego Sanchez capitalized on this activity level, while Paulo Thiago's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Diego Sanchez: +17Paulo Thiago: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricDiego SanchezPaulo Thiago
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 1711 044
ELO Change+17-15
💡

What Happened

Diego Sanchez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Paulo Thiago is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Diego Sanchez: +17Paulo Thiago: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricDiego SanchezPaulo Thiago
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1251 023
ELO Change+17-17
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.