March 1, 2013
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 18 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 11 | -11 |
| Experience ELO | 1 173 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Diego Sanchez's 11-fight experience advantage (18 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Diego Sanchez for the expected result. Had Takanori Gomi pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 131 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 313 | 1 161 |
| ELO Change | +7 | -7 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Diego Sanchez receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 65 | 81 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 145 | 180 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 68 | 81 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 222 | 1 149 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Takanori Gomi controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (81 vs 65). However, since Takanori Gomi lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Diego Sanchez's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:20 | 0:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 290 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Diego Sanchez edged out Takanori Gomi on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 0:20 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 381 | 112 |
| Activity ELO | 1 294 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -10 |
Diego Sanchez demonstrated extended layoff with 381 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Diego Sanchez capitalized on this activity level, while Takanori Gomi's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 181 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -14 |
Diego Sanchez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Takanori Gomi is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Diego Sanchez | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 134 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.