February 2, 2007
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Diego Saraiva | Dustin Hazelett |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 965 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Diego Saraiva | Dustin Hazelett |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Diego Saraiva | Dustin Hazelett |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 954 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Dustin Hazelett earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Diego Saraiva | Dustin Hazelett |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 14 | 44 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 32 | 105 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 59 | 83 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 948 | 962 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +52 |
Dustin Hazelett controlled the striking exchanges with 83 vs 59 total strikes, 44 vs 14 significant strikes. Dustin Hazelett capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Diego Saraiva | Dustin Hazelett |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:44 | 4:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 21 |
| Ground ELO | 958 | 928 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Dustin Hazelett edged out Diego Saraiva on the ground with 1 takedown, 4:14 of control time, 21 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Saraiva | Dustin Hazelett |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 117 |
| Activity ELO | 978 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +55 |
Dustin Hazelett demonstrated solid activity levels with 117 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Dustin Hazelett capitalized on this activity level, while Diego Saraiva's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Diego Saraiva | Dustin Hazelett |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 978 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Dustin Hazelett started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Diego Saraiva is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Diego Saraiva | Dustin Hazelett |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.