May 25, 2007
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Din Thomas | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 101 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Din Thomas's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Din Thomas for the expected result. Had Jeremy Stephens pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Din Thomas | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 061 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Din Thomas | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:44 | 2:44 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 153 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -29 |
Din Thomas earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:44, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Jeremy Stephens was submitted.
| Metric | Din Thomas | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 37 | 35 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 35 | 19 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 079 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Din Thomas edged the striking exchanges. Din Thomas capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Din Thomas | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:02 | 1:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 173 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Din Thomas controlled Jeremy Stephens on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 4:02 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Din Thomas | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 121 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 159 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -13 |
Din Thomas demonstrated solid activity levels with 121 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Din Thomas capitalized on this activity level, while Jeremy Stephens's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Din Thomas | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 083 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -17 |
Din Thomas extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jeremy Stephens is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Din Thomas | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 061 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

