Din Thomas vs Jeremy Stephens

May 25, 2007

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1109
(+29)
Din Thomas
Winner: Din Thomas
Submission
Round 2 • 2:44

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Din Thomas+29
Jeremy Stephens-24
976
(-24)
Jeremy Stephens

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Din Thomas: +25Jeremy Stephens: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricDin ThomasJeremy Stephens
Total UFC Fights71
Experience Gap6-6
Experience ELO1 101975
ELO Change+25-25
💡

What Happened

Din Thomas's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Din Thomas for the expected result. Had Jeremy Stephens pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Din Thomas: +18Jeremy Stephens: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricDin ThomasJeremy Stephens
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 061982
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Din Thomas: +46Jeremy Stephens: -29

Performance Statistics

MetricDin ThomasJeremy Stephens
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish2:442:44
Win Type ELO1 153971
ELO Change+46-29
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What Happened

Din Thomas earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:44, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Jeremy Stephens was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Din Thomas: +29Jeremy Stephens: -29

Performance Statistics

MetricDin ThomasJeremy Stephens
Significant Strikes Landed107
Significant Strikes Attempted3735
Total Strikes Landed3519
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 079971
ELO Change+29-29
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What Happened

Din Thomas edged the striking exchanges. Din Thomas capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Din Thomas: +43Jeremy Stephens: -43

Performance Statistics

MetricDin ThomasJeremy Stephens
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted20
Ground Control Time4:021:06
Ground Strikes Landed22
Ground ELO1 173957
ELO Change+43-43
💡

What Happened

Din Thomas controlled Jeremy Stephens on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 4:02 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Din Thomas: +27Jeremy Stephens: -13

Performance Statistics

MetricDin ThomasJeremy Stephens
Days Since Last Fight121N/A
Activity ELO1 159987
ELO Change+27-13
💡

What Happened

Din Thomas demonstrated solid activity levels with 121 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Din Thomas capitalized on this activity level, while Jeremy Stephens's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Din Thomas: +24Jeremy Stephens: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricDin ThomasJeremy Stephens
Win Streak40
Win Streak ELO1 083983
ELO Change+24-17
💡

What Happened

Din Thomas extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jeremy Stephens is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Din Thomas: +18Jeremy Stephens: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricDin ThomasJeremy Stephens
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 061982
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.