April 1, 2008
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Din Thomas | Josh Neer |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 040 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +48 |
Josh Neer overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Din Thomas.
| Metric | Din Thomas | Josh Neer |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 015 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Din Thomas | Josh Neer |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 061 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Josh Neer earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Din Thomas | Josh Neer |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 20 | 80 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 84 | 164 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 42 | 124 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 947 | 998 |
| ELO Change | -68 | +68 |
Josh Neer dominated the striking exchanges with 124 vs 42 total strikes, 80 vs 20 significant strikes, 48.8% vs 23.8% accuracy. Josh Neer capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Din Thomas | Josh Neer |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:33 | 8:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 42 |
| Ground ELO | 924 | 960 |
| ELO Change | -135 | +135 |
Josh Neer dominated Din Thomas on the ground with 3 vs 2 takedowns, 8:12 of control time, 42 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Din Thomas | Josh Neer |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 196 | 585 |
| Activity ELO | 1 110 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +24 |
Josh Neer demonstrated extended layoff with 585 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Josh Neer capitalized on this activity level, while Din Thomas's 196-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Din Thomas | Josh Neer |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 037 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +28 |
Josh Neer started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Din Thomas is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Din Thomas | Josh Neer |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 015 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.