September 18, 2007
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Din Thomas | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 080 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (8 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Din Thomas | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 040 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Din Thomas | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:31 | 4:31 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 115 | 1 249 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +63 |
Kenny Florian earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:31, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Din Thomas | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 27 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 15 | 57 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 3 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 015 | 1 244 |
| ELO Change | -64 | +64 |
Kenny Florian controlled the striking exchanges with 50 vs 3 total strikes, 27 vs 3 significant strikes, 47.4% vs 20.0% accuracy. Kenny Florian capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Din Thomas | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:21 | 1:42 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 22 |
| Ground ELO | 1 059 | 1 348 |
| ELO Change | -114 | +114 |
Kenny Florian dominated Din Thomas on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:42 of control time, 22 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Din Thomas | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 116 | 74 |
| Activity ELO | 1 137 | 1 211 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +65 |
Kenny Florian demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 74 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Kenny Florian capitalized on this activity level, while Din Thomas's 116-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Din Thomas | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 062 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +28 |
Kenny Florian extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Din Thomas is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Din Thomas | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 040 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.