Din Thomas vs Matt Serra

February 27, 2003

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1009
(+27)
Din Thomas
Winner: Din Thomas
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Din Thomas+27
Matt Serra-24
999
(-24)
Matt Serra

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Din Thomas: +36Matt Serra: -34

Performance Statistics

MetricDin ThomasMatt Serra
Total UFC Fights45
Experience Gap-11
Experience ELO1 020976
ELO Change+36-34
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Din Thomas: +22Matt Serra: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricDin ThomasMatt Serra
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 003983
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Din Thomas: +12Matt Serra: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricDin ThomasMatt Serra
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0081 034
ELO Change+12-12
💡

What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Din Thomas receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Din Thomas: +29Matt Serra: -29

Performance Statistics

MetricDin ThomasMatt Serra
Significant Strikes Landed2926
Significant Strikes Attempted6181
Total Strikes Landed5942
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO961926
ELO Change+29-29
💡

What Happened

Din Thomas edged the striking exchanges with 47.5% vs 32.1% accuracy. Din Thomas capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Din Thomas: +30Matt Serra: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricDin ThomasMatt Serra
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted028
Ground Control Time1:451:26
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 0001 076
ELO Change+30-30
💡

What Happened

Din Thomas did not secure a significant ground advantage against Matt Serra on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:45 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Din Thomas: +39Matt Serra: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricDin ThomasMatt Serra
Days Since Last Fight155155
Activity ELO1 0651 024
ELO Change+39-22
💡

What Happened

Din Thomas demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Din Thomas capitalized on this activity level, while Matt Serra's 155-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Din Thomas: +25Matt Serra: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricDin ThomasMatt Serra
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 009990
ELO Change+25-23
💡

What Happened

Din Thomas started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Matt Serra is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Din Thomas: +22Matt Serra: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricDin ThomasMatt Serra
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 003983
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.