Dione Barbosa vs Ernesta Kareckaite

May 3, 2024

Women's Flyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1026
(+26)
Dione Barbosa
Winner: Dione Barbosa
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Dione Barbosa+26
Ernesta Kareckaite-25
975
(-25)
Ernesta Kareckaite

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Dione Barbosa: +21Ernesta Kareckaite: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDione BarbosaErnesta Kareckaite
Total UFC Fights11
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Dione Barbosa: +21Ernesta Kareckaite: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDione BarbosaErnesta Kareckaite
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Dione Barbosa: +42Ernesta Kareckaite: -42

Performance Statistics

MetricDione BarbosaErnesta Kareckaite
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 042958
ELO Change+42-42
💡

What Happened

Dione Barbosa earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Dione Barbosa: +21Ernesta Kareckaite: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDione BarbosaErnesta Kareckaite
Significant Strikes Landed3953
Significant Strikes Attempted71156
Total Strikes Landed87100
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Ernesta Kareckaite controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (53 vs 39), superior accuracy (34.0% vs 54.9%). However, since Ernesta Kareckaite lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Dione Barbosa's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Dione Barbosa: +35Ernesta Kareckaite: -35

Performance Statistics

MetricDione BarbosaErnesta Kareckaite
Takedowns Landed21
Takedowns Attempted111
Ground Control Time3:513:25
Ground Strikes Landed48
Ground ELO1 035965
ELO Change+35-35
💡

What Happened

Dione Barbosa edged out Ernesta Kareckaite on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 3:51 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Dione Barbosa: +21Ernesta Kareckaite: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDione BarbosaErnesta Kareckaite
Days Since Last FightN/AN/A
Activity ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Dione Barbosa demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since her last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Dione Barbosa capitalized on this activity level, while Ernesta Kareckaite's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Dione Barbosa: +23Ernesta Kareckaite: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDione BarbosaErnesta Kareckaite
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 023979
ELO Change+23-21
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What Happened

Dione Barbosa started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ernesta Kareckaite is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Dione Barbosa: +21Ernesta Kareckaite: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDione BarbosaErnesta Kareckaite
Weight ClassWomen's FlyweightWomen's Flyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.