July 19, 2024
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dione Barbosa | Miranda Maverick |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 998 | 1 138 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Miranda Maverick's 8-fight experience advantage (10 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Miranda Maverick for the expected result. Had Dione Barbosa pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dione Barbosa | Miranda Maverick |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 002 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dione Barbosa | Miranda Maverick |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 017 | 1 215 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Miranda Maverick earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Dione Barbosa | Miranda Maverick |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 30 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 52 | 88 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 47 | 102 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 999 | 1 190 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Miranda Maverick dominated the striking exchanges with 102 vs 47 total strikes, 30 vs 21 significant strikes. Miranda Maverick capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dione Barbosa | Miranda Maverick |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:49 | 8:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 992 | 1 253 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Miranda Maverick controlled Dione Barbosa on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 8:07 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dione Barbosa | Miranda Maverick |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 77 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 010 | 1 215 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +20 |
Miranda Maverick demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Miranda Maverick capitalized on this activity level, while Dione Barbosa's 77-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dione Barbosa | Miranda Maverick |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 005 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +23 |
Miranda Maverick extended her 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dione Barbosa is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dione Barbosa | Miranda Maverick |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 002 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.