Diyar Nurgozhay vs Rafael Tobias

Diyar Nurgozhay's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Diyar Nurgozhay for the expected result. Had Rafael Tobias pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Diyar Nurgozhay earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Diyar Nurgozhay controlled the striking exchanges with 100 vs 52 total strikes, 94 vs 39 significant strikes, 65.7% vs 38.6% accuracy. Diyar Nurgozhay capitalized on this striking dominance.

Diyar Nurgozhay did not secure a significant ground advantage against Rafael Tobias on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:28 of control time, 8 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.

Diyar Nurgozhay demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Diyar Nurgozhay capitalized on this activity level, while Rafael Tobias's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Diyar Nurgozhay started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rafael Tobias is back at 0 with this loss.

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.