March 8, 2025
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Djorden Santos | Ozzy Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 966 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Djorden Santos | Ozzy Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Djorden Santos | Ozzy Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 954 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Ozzy Diaz earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Djorden Santos | Ozzy Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 131 | 135 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 345 | 261 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 134 | 136 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 974 | 949 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Ozzy Diaz slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 51.7% vs 38.0% accuracy. Ozzy Diaz capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Djorden Santos | Ozzy Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:26 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 976 | 979 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Djorden Santos | Ozzy Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 105 |
| Activity ELO | 978 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +56 |
Ozzy Diaz demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Ozzy Diaz capitalized on this activity level, while Djorden Santos's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Djorden Santos | Ozzy Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 978 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Ozzy Diaz started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Djorden Santos is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Djorden Santos | Ozzy Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.