April 26, 2019
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dmitrii Smoliakov | Greg Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 916 | 998 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Dmitrii Smoliakov | Greg Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 937 | 998 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dmitrii Smoliakov | Greg Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:15 | 2:15 |
| Win Type ELO | 878 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +74 |
Greg Hardy earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:15, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Dmitrii Smoliakov | Greg Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 3 | 30 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 1 | 17 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 779 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -90 | +90 |
Greg Hardy edged the striking exchanges with 14 vs 1 significant strikes, 46.7% vs 33.3% accuracy. Greg Hardy capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dmitrii Smoliakov | Greg Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:25 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 768 | 996 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Greg Hardy controlled Dmitrii Smoliakov on the ground with 0:25 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dmitrii Smoliakov | Greg Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 832 | 98 |
| Activity ELO | 937 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +49 |
Greg Hardy demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Greg Hardy capitalized on this activity level, while Dmitrii Smoliakov's 832-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dmitrii Smoliakov | Greg Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 937 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Greg Hardy started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dmitrii Smoliakov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dmitrii Smoliakov | Greg Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 937 | 998 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.