March 16, 2018
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dmitry Sosnovskiy | Mark Godbeer |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 079 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +79 | -79 |
Dmitry Sosnovskiy overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Mark Godbeer.
| Metric | Dmitry Sosnovskiy | Mark Godbeer |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 022 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dmitry Sosnovskiy | Mark Godbeer |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:29 | 4:29 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 070 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +70 | -45 |
Dmitry Sosnovskiy earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:29, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Mark Godbeer was submitted.
| Metric | Dmitry Sosnovskiy | Mark Godbeer |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 40 | 37 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 53 | 73 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 026 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Mark Godbeer controlled the striking through superior volume (73 vs 53 total strikes). However, since Mark Godbeer lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Dmitry Sosnovskiy's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Dmitry Sosnovskiy | Mark Godbeer |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:15 | 3:29 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 13 | 14 |
| Ground ELO | 1 058 | 881 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -58 |
Dmitry Sosnovskiy controlled Mark Godbeer on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 4:15 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Dmitry Sosnovskiy | Mark Godbeer |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 025 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Dmitry Sosnovskiy demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Dmitry Sosnovskiy capitalized on this activity level, while Mark Godbeer's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dmitry Sosnovskiy | Mark Godbeer |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 025 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -23 |
Dmitry Sosnovskiy started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mark Godbeer is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dmitry Sosnovskiy | Mark Godbeer |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 022 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.