April 4, 2007
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dokonjonosuke Mishima | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 947 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Kenny Florian's 4-fight experience advantage (6 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Kenny Florian for the expected result. Had Dokonjonosuke Mishima pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dokonjonosuke Mishima | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 962 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dokonjonosuke Mishima | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:57 | 3:57 |
| Win Type ELO | 935 | 1 127 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +42 |
Kenny Florian earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 3:57, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Dokonjonosuke Mishima was submitted.
| Metric | Dokonjonosuke Mishima | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 38 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 36 | 72 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 28 | 94 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 935 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +45 |
Kenny Florian dominated the striking exchanges with 94 vs 28 total strikes, 38 vs 6 significant strikes, 52.8% vs 16.7% accuracy. Kenny Florian capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dokonjonosuke Mishima | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 10 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:29 | 7:17 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 19 |
| Ground ELO | 865 | 1 198 |
| ELO Change | -107 | +107 |
Kenny Florian dominated Dokonjonosuke Mishima on the ground with 1 takedown, 7:17 of control time, 19 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Dokonjonosuke Mishima | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 138 | 173 |
| Activity ELO | 969 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +26 |
Kenny Florian demonstrated solid activity levels with 173 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kenny Florian capitalized on this activity level, while Dokonjonosuke Mishima's 138-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dokonjonosuke Mishima | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 963 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +19 |
Kenny Florian started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dokonjonosuke Mishima is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dokonjonosuke Mishima | Kenny Florian |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 962 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.