November 27, 2015
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dominic Waters | Dong Hyun Kim |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 16 |
| Experience Gap | -14 | 14 |
| Experience ELO | 958 | 1 223 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
Dong Hyun Kim's 14-fight experience advantage (16 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dong Hyun Kim for the expected result. Had Dominic Waters pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dominic Waters | Dong Hyun Kim |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 968 | 1 144 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dominic Waters | Dong Hyun Kim |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:11 | 3:11 |
| Win Type ELO | 961 | 1 367 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +18 |
Dong Hyun Kim earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:11, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Dominic Waters | Dong Hyun Kim |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 0 | 8 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 0 | 91 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 927 | 1 340 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Dong Hyun Kim dominated the striking exchanges with 91 vs 0 total strikes, 6 vs 0 significant strikes, 75.0% vs 0.0% accuracy. Dong Hyun Kim capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dominic Waters | Dong Hyun Kim |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:53 | 2:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 911 | 1 366 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +9 |
Dong Hyun Kim controlled Dominic Waters on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:00 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dominic Waters | Dong Hyun Kim |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | 190 |
| Activity ELO | 974 | 1 256 |
| ELO Change | -7 | +9 |
Dong Hyun Kim demonstrated standard activity with 190 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Dong Hyun Kim capitalized on this activity level, while Dominic Waters's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dominic Waters | Dong Hyun Kim |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 970 | 1 179 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +13 |
Dong Hyun Kim extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dominic Waters is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dominic Waters | Dong Hyun Kim |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 968 | 1 143 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.