May 8, 2020
UFC Bantamweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dominick Cruz | Henry Cejudo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 205 | 1 370 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Henry Cejudo's 5-fight experience advantage (12 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Henry Cejudo for the expected result. Had Dominick Cruz pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dominick Cruz | Henry Cejudo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 222 | 1 374 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +47 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Henry Cejudo captured the UFC Bantamweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Dominick Cruz | Henry Cejudo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:58 | 4:58 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 237 | 1 569 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +27 |
Henry Cejudo gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Dominick Cruz | Henry Cejudo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 33 | 53 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 81 | 83 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 33 | 56 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 246 | 1 652 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Henry Cejudo controlled the striking exchanges with 56 vs 33 total strikes, 53 vs 33 significant strikes, 63.9% vs 40.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Henry Cejudo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dominick Cruz | Henry Cejudo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 1 327 | 1 562 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Henry Cejudo landed 1 knockdown followed by 9 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Dominick Cruz | Henry Cejudo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 1 226 | 336 |
| Activity ELO | 1 159 | 1 363 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
Henry Cejudo demonstrated standard activity with 336 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Henry Cejudo capitalized on this activity level, while Dominick Cruz's 1226-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dominick Cruz | Henry Cejudo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 6 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 128 | 1 282 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +36 |
Henry Cejudo continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Dominick Cruz's now at 0.
| Metric | Dominick Cruz | Henry Cejudo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 086 | 1 417 |
| ELO Change | -6 | +6 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.