August 12, 2022
Bantamweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dominick Cruz | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 20 |
| Experience Gap | -10 | 10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 240 | 1 298 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Marlon Vera's 10-fight experience advantage (20 vs 10 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Marlon Vera for the expected result. Had Dominick Cruz pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dominick Cruz | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 221 | 1 176 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dominick Cruz | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 4 | 4 |
| Time of Finish | 2:17 | 2:17 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 283 | 1 531 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +43 |
Marlon Vera gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 4, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Dominick Cruz | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 92 | 61 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 249 | 156 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 100 | 63 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 3 |
| Striking ELO | 1 225 | 1 562 |
| ELO Change | -73 | +73 |
Dominick Cruz controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (100 vs 63 total strikes), significant strike advantage (92 vs 61). However, since Dominick Cruz lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Marlon Vera's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Dominick Cruz | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:05 | 0:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 374 | 1 333 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Marlon Vera landed 3 knockdowns followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Dominick Cruz | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 245 | 105 |
| Activity ELO | 1 196 | 1 357 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +36 |
Marlon Vera demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Marlon Vera capitalized on this activity level, while Dominick Cruz's 245-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dominick Cruz | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 154 | 1 225 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +27 |
Marlon Vera extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dominick Cruz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dominick Cruz | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 106 | 1 158 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.