January 16, 2016
UFC Bantamweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dominick Cruz | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 207 | 1 166 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -36 |
Dominick Cruz overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 11 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran TJ Dillashaw.
| Metric | Dominick Cruz | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 224 | 1 215 |
| ELO Change | +80 | -27 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Dominick Cruz captured the UFC Bantamweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Dominick Cruz | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 230 | 1 452 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Dominick Cruz receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Dominick Cruz | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 112 | 109 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 302 | 408 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 122 | 130 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 273 | 1 459 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Dominick Cruz slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 37.1% vs 26.7% accuracy. Dominick Cruz capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dominick Cruz | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 11 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:33 | 1:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 341 | 1 353 |
| ELO Change | +64 | -64 |
Dominick Cruz edged out TJ Dillashaw on the ground with 4 vs 1 takedowns, 0:33 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dominick Cruz | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 478 | 177 |
| Activity ELO | 1 135 | 1 259 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -31 |
Dominick Cruz demonstrated extended layoff with 478 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Dominick Cruz capitalized on this activity level, while TJ Dillashaw's 177-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dominick Cruz | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 123 | 1 146 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -26 |
Dominick Cruz extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. TJ Dillashaw is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dominick Cruz | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 092 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.