February 7, 2020
UFC Light Heavyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dominick Reyes | Jon Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 22 |
| Experience Gap | -15 | 15 |
| Experience ELO | 1 269 | 1 507 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
Jon Jones's 15-fight experience advantage (22 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jon Jones for the expected result. Had Dominick Reyes pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dominick Reyes | Jon Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 129 | 1 525 |
| ELO Change | -4 | +13 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Jon Jones captured the UFC Light Heavyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Dominick Reyes | Jon Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 483 | 1 810 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
Jon Jones earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Dominick Reyes | Jon Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 116 | 104 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 259 | 166 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 119 | 107 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 452 | 1 823 |
| ELO Change | -5 | +5 |
Dominick Reyes controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (116 vs 104), superior accuracy (44.8% vs 62.7%). However, since Dominick Reyes lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jon Jones's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Dominick Reyes | Jon Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:41 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 254 | 1 806 |
| ELO Change | -3 | +3 |
Jon Jones edged out Dominick Reyes on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:41 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dominick Reyes | Jon Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 114 | 218 |
| Activity ELO | 1 227 | 1 580 |
| ELO Change | -5 | +6 |
Jon Jones demonstrated standard activity with 218 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jon Jones capitalized on this activity level, while Dominick Reyes's 114-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dominick Reyes | Jon Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 212 | 1 574 |
| ELO Change | -5 | +7 |
Jon Jones extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dominick Reyes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dominick Reyes | Jon Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 112 | 1 320 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.

