November 11, 2022
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dominick Reyes | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 163 | 1 229 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (10 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Dominick Reyes | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 060 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dominick Reyes | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:20 | 1:20 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 334 | 1 474 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +102 |
Ryan Spann earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:20, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Dominick Reyes | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 12 | 17 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 5 | 8 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 117 | 1 280 |
| ELO Change | -115 | +115 |
Ryan Spann controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Ryan Spann capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dominick Reyes | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 125 | 1 231 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +52 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Dominick Reyes | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 561 | 183 |
| Activity ELO | 1 160 | 1 194 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +27 |
Ryan Spann demonstrated standard activity with 183 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Ryan Spann capitalized on this activity level, while Dominick Reyes's 561-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dominick Reyes | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 134 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +29 |
Ryan Spann extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dominick Reyes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dominick Reyes | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 046 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.