December 17, 2021
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Don'Tale Mayes | Josh Parisian |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 985 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Don'Tale Mayes | Josh Parisian |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 004 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Don'Tale Mayes | Josh Parisian |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:26 | 3:26 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 055 | 921 |
| ELO Change | +81 | -41 |
Don'Tale Mayes gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Don'Tale Mayes | Josh Parisian |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 25 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 41 | 16 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 117 | 24 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 033 | 886 |
| ELO Change | +99 | -99 |
Don'Tale Mayes dominated the striking exchanges with 117 vs 24 total strikes, 25 vs 10 significant strikes. Don'Tale Mayes capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Don'Tale Mayes | Josh Parisian |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 11:32 | 0:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 960 | 783 |
| ELO Change | +149 | -149 |
Don'Tale Mayes dominated Josh Parisian on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 11:32 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Don'Tale Mayes | Josh Parisian |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 399 | 183 |
| Activity ELO | 1 008 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -22 |
Don'Tale Mayes demonstrated extended layoff with 399 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Don'Tale Mayes capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Parisian's 183-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Don'Tale Mayes | Josh Parisian |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 010 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -22 |
Don'Tale Mayes extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josh Parisian is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Don'Tale Mayes | Josh Parisian |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 004 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.