February 15, 2025
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Don'Tale Mayes | Valter Walker |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 8 | -8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 030 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +58 |
Valter Walker overcame a 8-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 11 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Don'Tale Mayes.
| Metric | Don'Tale Mayes | Valter Walker |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 970 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Don'Tale Mayes | Valter Walker |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:17 | 1:17 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 039 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +89 |
Valter Walker earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:17, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Don'Tale Mayes | Valter Walker |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 2 | 3 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 3 | 5 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 043 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Don'Tale Mayes controlled the striking through superior accuracy (50.0% vs 33.3%). However, since Don'Tale Mayes lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Valter Walker's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Don'Tale Mayes | Valter Walker |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:58 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 869 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Valter Walker controlled Don'Tale Mayes on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:58 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Don'Tale Mayes | Valter Walker |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 197 | 183 |
| Activity ELO | 1 039 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +29 |
Valter Walker demonstrated standard activity with 183 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Valter Walker capitalized on this activity level, while Don'Tale Mayes's 197-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Don'Tale Mayes | Valter Walker |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 983 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Valter Walker extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Don'Tale Mayes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Don'Tale Mayes | Valter Walker |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 969 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.