December 6, 1996
Open Weight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Don Frye | Gary Goodridge |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 134 | 944 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (8 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Don Frye | Gary Goodridge |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 135 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Don Frye | Gary Goodridge |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 11:19 | 11:19 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 363 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -22 |
Don Frye earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 11:19, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Don Frye | Gary Goodridge |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 30 | 26 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 32 | 45 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 213 | 947 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Gary Goodridge lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Don Frye's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Don Frye | Gary Goodridge |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | -- | -- |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 177 | 891 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Don Frye | Gary Goodridge |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 148 | 148 |
| Activity ELO | 1 479 | 1 193 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -8 |
Don Frye demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Don Frye capitalized on this activity level, while Gary Goodridge's 148-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Don Frye | Gary Goodridge |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 151 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -13 |
Don Frye started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gary Goodridge is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Don Frye | Gary Goodridge |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 104 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.