December 6, 1996
Open Weight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Don Frye | Mark Hall |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 156 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Don Frye's 4-fight experience advantage (9 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Don Frye for the expected result. Had Mark Hall pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Don Frye | Mark Hall |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 149 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Don Frye | Mark Hall |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:20 | 0:20 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 398 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -15 |
Don Frye locked in a lightning-fast Submission in 0:20 of round 1. This explosive first-minute submission earned substantial bonus rewards.
| Metric | Don Frye | Mark Hall |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 225 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 0 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Don Frye | Mark Hall |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | -- | -- |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 196 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Don Frye | Mark Hall |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 1 | 149 |
| Activity ELO | 1 508 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -3 |
Don Frye demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within 1 day since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Don Frye capitalized on this activity level, while Mark Hall's 149-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Don Frye | Mark Hall |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 166 | 995 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -13 |
Don Frye extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mark Hall is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Don Frye | Mark Hall |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 119 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.