October 26, 2018
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Don Madge | Te Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Don Madge | Te Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Don Madge | Te Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:14 | 0:14 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 086 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +86 | -42 |
Don Madge gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Don Madge | Te Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 31 | 15 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 42 | 6 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 162 | 838 |
| ELO Change | +162 | -162 |
Don Madge dominated the striking exchanges with 42 vs 6 total strikes, 21 vs 5 significant strikes, 67.7% vs 33.3% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Don Madge capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Don Madge | Te Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:32 | 3:48 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 027 | 973 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Don Madge landed 2 knockdowns followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Don Madge | Te Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Don Madge demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Don Madge capitalized on this activity level, while Te Edwards's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Don Madge | Te Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Don Madge started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Te Edwards is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Don Madge | Te Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.