May 14, 2012
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 200 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -22 |
Donald Cerrone overcame a 8-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 14 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jeremy Stephens.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 083 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 308 | 1 185 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Donald Cerrone earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 87 | 46 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 192 | 115 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 87 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 295 | 1 217 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Donald Cerrone controlled the striking exchanges with 87 vs 50 total strikes, 87 vs 46 significant strikes. Donald Cerrone capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:31 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 336 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -10 |
Donald Cerrone did not secure a significant ground advantage against Jeremy Stephens on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:31 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 137 | 220 |
| Activity ELO | 1 242 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -18 |
Donald Cerrone demonstrated solid activity levels with 137 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Donald Cerrone capitalized on this activity level, while Jeremy Stephens's 220-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 109 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Donald Cerrone started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jeremy Stephens is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 082 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.