July 15, 2014
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 18 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 296 | 1 207 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -30 |
Donald Cerrone overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (14 vs 18 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jim Miller.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 155 | 1 138 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:31 | 3:31 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 507 | 1 367 |
| ELO Change | +82 | -40 |
Donald Cerrone gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 37 | 30 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 78 | 65 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 41 | 34 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 416 | 1 197 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -69 |
Donald Cerrone controlled the striking exchanges with 37 vs 30 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Donald Cerrone capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:21 | 0:34 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 404 | 1 198 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
Donald Cerrone landed 1 knockdown followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 88 | 81 |
| Activity ELO | 1 436 | 1 334 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -20 |
Donald Cerrone demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 88 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Donald Cerrone capitalized on this activity level, while Jim Miller's 81-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 207 | 1 203 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -24 |
Donald Cerrone extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jim Miller is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 154 | 1 137 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.