Donald Cerrone vs Jim Miller

July 1, 2022

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1152
(-42)
Donald Cerrone
Winner: Jim Miller
Submission
Round 2 • 1:32

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Donald Cerrone-42
Jim Miller+49
1216
(+49)
Jim Miller

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Donald Cerrone: -34Jim Miller: +34

Performance Statistics

MetricDonald CerroneJim Miller
Total UFC Fights3840
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO1 1201 156
ELO Change-34+34
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller's 2-fight experience advantage (40 vs 38 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jim Miller for the expected result. Had Donald Cerrone pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Donald Cerrone: -22Jim Miller: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricDonald CerroneJim Miller
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0741 099
ELO Change-22+22
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Donald Cerrone: -47Jim Miller: +73

Performance Statistics

MetricDonald CerroneJim Miller
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish1:321:32
Win Type ELO1 2861 364
ELO Change-47+73
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:32, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Donald Cerrone was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Donald Cerrone: -21Jim Miller: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricDonald CerroneJim Miller
Significant Strikes Landed2124
Significant Strikes Attempted3336
Total Strikes Landed2435
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0991 226
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Jim Miller capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Donald Cerrone: -136Jim Miller: +136

Performance Statistics

MetricDonald CerroneJim Miller
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time1:241:03
Ground Strikes Landed07
Ground ELO1 0641 282
ELO Change-136+136
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller dominated Donald Cerrone on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:03 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Donald Cerrone: -26Jim Miller: +52

Performance Statistics

MetricDonald CerroneJim Miller
Days Since Last Fight420133
Activity ELO1 3501 341
ELO Change-26+52
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jim Miller capitalized on this activity level, while Donald Cerrone's 420-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Donald Cerrone: -24Jim Miller: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricDonald CerroneJim Miller
Win Streak03
Win Streak ELO1 1571 159
ELO Change-24+32
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Donald Cerrone is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Donald Cerrone: -22Jim Miller: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricDonald CerroneJim Miller
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0691 097
ELO Change-22+22
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.