Donald Cerrone vs John Makdessi

May 22, 2015

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1411
(+14)
Donald Cerrone
Winner: Donald Cerrone
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 4:44

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Donald Cerrone+14
John Makdessi-10
1101
(-10)
John Makdessi

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Donald Cerrone: +13John Makdessi: -13

Performance Statistics

MetricDonald CerroneJohn Makdessi
Total UFC Fights1810
Experience Gap8-8
Experience ELO1 3721 107
ELO Change+13-13
💡

What Happened

Donald Cerrone's 8-fight experience advantage (18 vs 10 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Donald Cerrone for the expected result. Had John Makdessi pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Donald Cerrone: +12John Makdessi: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricDonald CerroneJohn Makdessi
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 2231 043
ELO Change+12-12
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Donald Cerrone: +20John Makdessi: -10

Performance Statistics

MetricDonald CerroneJohn Makdessi
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish4:444:44
Win Type ELO1 5721 190
ELO Change+20-10
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What Happened

Donald Cerrone gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Donald Cerrone: +19John Makdessi: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricDonald CerroneJohn Makdessi
Significant Strikes Landed7172
Significant Strikes Attempted171129
Total Strikes Landed7172
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 5021 205
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

John Makdessi controlled the striking through superior accuracy (55.8% vs 41.5%). However, since John Makdessi lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Donald Cerrone's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Donald Cerrone: +3John Makdessi: -3

Performance Statistics

MetricDonald CerroneJohn Makdessi
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:000:00
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 4841 045
ELO Change+3-3
💡

What Happened

The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Donald Cerrone: +6John Makdessi: -3

Performance Statistics

MetricDonald CerroneJohn Makdessi
Days Since Last Fight12528
Activity ELO1 5661 109
ELO Change+6-3
💡

What Happened

Donald Cerrone demonstrated solid activity levels with 125 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Donald Cerrone capitalized on this activity level, while John Makdessi's 28-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Donald Cerrone: +27John Makdessi: -8

Performance Statistics

MetricDonald CerroneJohn Makdessi
Win Streak80
Win Streak ELO1 3511 066
ELO Change+27-8
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What Happened

Donald Cerrone continued building serious momentum with a 8-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. John Makdessi's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Donald Cerrone: +13John Makdessi: -13

Performance Statistics

MetricDonald CerroneJohn Makdessi
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 2161 041
ELO Change+13-13
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.