May 22, 2015
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 18 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 8 | -8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 372 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
Donald Cerrone's 8-fight experience advantage (18 vs 10 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Donald Cerrone for the expected result. Had John Makdessi pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 223 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:44 | 4:44 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 572 | 1 190 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -10 |
Donald Cerrone gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 71 | 72 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 171 | 129 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 71 | 72 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 502 | 1 205 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
John Makdessi controlled the striking through superior accuracy (55.8% vs 41.5%). However, since John Makdessi lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Donald Cerrone's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 484 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +3 | -3 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 125 | 28 |
| Activity ELO | 1 566 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | +6 | -3 |
Donald Cerrone demonstrated solid activity levels with 125 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Donald Cerrone capitalized on this activity level, while John Makdessi's 28-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 8 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 351 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -8 |
Donald Cerrone continued building serious momentum with a 8-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. John Makdessi's now at 0.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 216 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

