January 27, 2017
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 24 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | 11 | -11 |
| Experience ELO | 1 348 | 1 266 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +85 |
Jorge Masvidal overcame a 11-fight experience disadvantage (13 vs 24 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Donald Cerrone.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 223 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:00 | 1:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 575 | 1 528 |
| ELO Change | -68 | +140 |
Jorge Masvidal gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 30 | 58 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 65 | 102 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 30 | 58 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 1 383 | 1 564 |
| ELO Change | -216 | +216 |
Jorge Masvidal dominated the striking exchanges with 58 vs 30 total strikes, 58 vs 30 significant strikes, 56.9% vs 46.2% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Jorge Masvidal capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 416 | 1 352 |
| ELO Change | -83 | +83 |
Jorge Masvidal landed 2 knockdowns followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 49 | 56 |
| Activity ELO | 1 567 | 1 473 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +180 |
Jorge Masvidal demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 56 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Jorge Masvidal capitalized on this activity level, while Donald Cerrone's 49-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 338 | 1 159 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +45 |
Jorge Masvidal extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Donald Cerrone is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 215 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.