May 24, 2013
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | KJ Noons |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 8 | -8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 219 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Donald Cerrone's 8-fight experience advantage (9 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Donald Cerrone for the expected result. Had KJ Noons pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | KJ Noons |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 095 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | KJ Noons |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 346 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
Donald Cerrone earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | KJ Noons |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 78 | 42 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 152 | 122 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 130 | 56 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 256 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Donald Cerrone dominated the striking exchanges with 130 vs 56 total strikes, 78 vs 42 significant strikes, 51.3% vs 34.4% accuracy. Donald Cerrone capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | KJ Noons |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:48 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 22 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 300 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Donald Cerrone dominated KJ Noons on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 5:48 of control time, 22 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | KJ Noons |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 288 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -7 |
Donald Cerrone demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Donald Cerrone capitalized on this activity level, while KJ Noons's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | KJ Noons |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 126 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -15 |
Donald Cerrone started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. KJ Noons is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | KJ Noons |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 094 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.