June 22, 2018
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Leon Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 28 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 18 | -18 |
| Experience ELO | 1 242 | 1 262 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +91 |
Leon Edwards overcame a 18-fight experience disadvantage (10 vs 28 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Donald Cerrone.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Leon Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 164 | 1 129 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Leon Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 461 | 1 430 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +59 |
Leon Edwards earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Leon Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 60 | 84 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 131 | 166 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 64 | 101 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 379 | 1 356 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Leon Edwards controlled the striking exchanges with 101 vs 64 total strikes, 84 vs 60 significant strikes. Leon Edwards capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Leon Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:43 | 0:48 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 352 | 1 310 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Leon Edwards did not secure a significant ground advantage against Donald Cerrone on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:48 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Leon Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 125 | 98 |
| Activity ELO | 1 475 | 1 307 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +88 |
Leon Edwards demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Leon Edwards capitalized on this activity level, while Donald Cerrone's 125-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Leon Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 6 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 260 | 1 217 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +70 |
Leon Edwards continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Donald Cerrone's now at 0.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Leon Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 153 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.