August 10, 2012
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Melvin Guillard |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 18 |
| Experience Gap | -11 | 11 |
| Experience ELO | 1 246 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -26 |
Donald Cerrone overcame a 11-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 18 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Melvin Guillard.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Melvin Guillard |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 104 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Melvin Guillard |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:16 | 1:16 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 400 | 1 239 |
| ELO Change | +92 | -38 |
Donald Cerrone earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:16, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Melvin Guillard |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 9 | 28 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 4 | 10 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 408 | 1 305 |
| ELO Change | +113 | -113 |
Melvin Guillard controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (10 vs 4), 1 knockdown. However, since Melvin Guillard lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Donald Cerrone's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Melvin Guillard |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 0:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 345 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Melvin Guillard |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 88 | 35 |
| Activity ELO | 1 301 | 1 202 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -20 |
Donald Cerrone demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 88 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Donald Cerrone capitalized on this activity level, while Melvin Guillard's 35-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Melvin Guillard |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 136 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -22 |
Donald Cerrone extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Melvin Guillard is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Donald Cerrone | Melvin Guillard |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 103 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.